Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.161217 0.184288 0.210336 0.242092 0.279986 0.324035 0.379523
2025-06-29 0.124761 0.154578 0.191841 0.242550 0.310893 0.401487 0.533570
2025-07-06 0.101900 0.133623 0.176263 0.239235 0.332477 0.469894 0.696716
2025-07-13 0.088887 0.121959 0.169109 0.243649 0.363308 0.557096 0.916111
2025-07-20 0.079619 0.113421 0.164055 0.248923 0.395228 0.653424 1.187159
2025-07-27 0.072351 0.106427 0.159696 0.253702 0.426525 0.756850 1.515944
2025-08-03 0.066857 0.101216 0.157044 0.260359 0.462165 0.878884 1.944208
2025-08-10 0.061548 0.095498 0.152527 0.262549 0.489414 0.992274 2.415052
2025-08-17 0.056849 0.090151 0.147781 0.263235 0.513502 1.106674 2.960443
2025-08-24 0.052508 0.084880 0.142392 0.261573 0.531966 1.214154 3.560965
2025-08-31 0.048455 0.079653 0.136382 0.257536 0.543979 1.309601 4.196480
2025-09-07 0.046161 0.077328 0.135506 0.264115 0.583112 1.496259 5.351342
2025-09-14 0.042738 0.072642 0.129605 0.258974 0.592303 1.601065 6.284920
2025-09-21 0.040437 0.069850 0.127166 0.261367 0.622568 1.789237 7.870167
2025-09-28 0.037850 0.066261 0.122678 0.258200 0.636760 1.930728 9.418005
2025-10-05 0.036240 0.064423 0.121618 0.263171 0.676325 2.188478 12.168097
2025-10-12 0.034837 0.062858 0.120945 0.269004 0.720578 2.493487 15.973328
2025-10-19 0.033501 0.061303 0.120105 0.274273 0.765001 2.830958 21.047149
2025-10-26 0.032411 0.060151 0.120031 0.281607 0.819225 3.257026 28.641488
2025-11-02 0.031073 0.058359 0.118285 0.284021 0.857127 3.633343 37.437282
2025-11-09 0.029736 0.056459 0.116081 0.284777 0.889505 4.009993 48.503013
2025-11-16 0.028351 0.054345 0.113154 0.282945 0.911608 4.349117 61.438880
2025-11-23 0.026927 0.052040 0.109542 0.278498 0.922071 4.628195 75.661514